Tuesday, August 7, 2012

2012 Little League East Region: Day 5

South Burlington (VT) 10, Coventry (RI) 9

After a 1-0 loss to Connecticut on the first night of the tournament, I don't think many people expected to see Rhode Island completely missing the New England semifinals. After watching Vermont lose 17-1 to Connecticut on the second night of the tournament, I don't think many people expected to see Vermont IN the semifinals. Well... here we are.

South Burlington never got down on themselves after falling to 0-2 early in the tournament and now find themselves securely in the semifinals. Ryan Hockenbury, Ben Tate, and Nate Gaboriault were great on offense today.

Rhode Island has two of the best pitchers in the entire region, and had the bad luck of facing Connecticut's Ryan Meury in the first game. I know that Fairfield is sleeping easier now that Coventry is headed home.

Wellesley South (MA) 9, Bedford (NH) 5

The victory by Massachusetts effectively eliminated Maine and Rhode Island from the tournament while clinching a spot for them at the same time. New Hampshire was undone by terrible defense today. Six errors is just too much to overcome. Massachusetts' Billy Seidl swung the bat like a stud today. If he hits that way (and pitches like he can) Wellesley may find themselves beating whoever they meet up with in the semis.

New Hampshire didn't need to win this game and set their pitching up for the playoff round. Lavigne, Saltzman, and Collins will all be available. As long as the defense comes around, they're still the second best team to Connecticut.

Stony Point (NY) 8, Northwest Washington (DC) 2

New York finally got its first win and it still wasn't that easy. DC absolutely proved how tough the whole region is this year because they were legit this year. New York has hit with each team they've played, but the lack of a homerun threat has been the difference. To beat great pitching (which is all that's left) teams need to hit a few balls out of the park. That will be the key to advancing to Williamsport.

Newark National (DE) 13, Collier Township (PA) 0 (F/4)

Wow. Delaware looked scary good with their offense today. To be fair, Pennsylvania didn't use either of their top pitchers (coach's decision/ineligible), but PA's #3 certainly got hit hard. Matt Theodorakis has led this team all summer and is getting hot at the right time. Joe Silan is possibly the best hitter on the team right now, and if Delaware wins the tournament, Clayton Hansen will be the team MVP. When you have three stars playing like that, plus others like Drew Emory. You're in good shape. The first three in the lineup were 9-for-11 today with two homeruns and seven RBI.

Pennsylvania decided to put all its eggs in one basket and will most likely throw their #1 tomorrow against New York. That game now becomes an elimination game with both teams throw one of its top two pitchers. Neither has much available in relief either.

East Region Rankings Through Tuesday

1. Connecticut (3-0)

2. Delaware (3-1)

3. New Jersey (2-1)

4. New York (1-2)

5. New Hampshire (2-1)

6. Massachusetts (2-1)

7. Maryland (2-1)

8. Pennsylvania (1-2)

9. Vermont (2-2)

10. Rhode Island (1-3)

11. Washington D.C. (1-3)

12. Maine (0-3)

Random Thoughts: When New York saw it's pool play schedule, I'm sure they thought they had a good one. Delaware and Pennsylvania would be coming off their third games in three days, usually nobody needs to throw tough pitchers on the final day of pool play, etc... Instead, New York will face four #1 pitchers in all four games.

I've been catching flak for talking negatively about coaching decisions. I'm not trying to second guess anyone (its usually not second guessing because I tweet it the moment I think it). I'm just giving my opinion. I'm just an internet blogger that watches a bunch of baseball. Take it with a grain of salt. I have no problem with people rubbing anything in my face if I'm wrong, but so far the three instances I've been most vocal about have come to fruition. Maine's pitching, Pennsylvania's pitching, and New York leaving their #1 in during a game they were losing against Delaware.

Homerun Meter: 21

Strikeout Meter: 235

Prediction Record: 2-2 (Overall 13-7)

Predictions: New Jersey over Maryland 9-8, New York over Pennsylvania 4-3, Maine over New Hampshire 8-5, and Connecticut over Massachusetts 16-6.

Connecticut, New Hampshire, Massachusetts, and Vermont are all in the semifinals. If Massachusetts beats Connecticut, they are the one seed.

New Jersey, Maryland, and Delaware have clinched. The winner of New York/Pennsylvania is in. The seeds cannot determined yet. If Maryland wins and New York wins, then it's MD vs NY and DE vs NJ. If Maryland wins and Pennsylvania wins, it's MD vs PA and NJ vs DE. If New Jersey wins, DE vs. MD and NJ vs winner of PA/NY (unless the winner is NY and they give up a ton of runs in the process).

For New England, there's a few different scenarios, so I'll just tell you what it will be if my predictions are correct. CT would be 1, NH would be 2 (head to head over VT and MA), Mass/Vermont determined by Runs Against per inning. If MA beats CT and ME beats NH, then Mass would be 1, CT 2, New Hampshire 3, Vermont 4. If MA beats CT and NH beats ME... CT is probably the 1 based on Runs against per inning, Mass 2 (head-to-head), New Hampshire 3, and Vermont 4.



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14 comments:

High School Football Fanatic said...

It's a funny thing but IF Rhode Island pitched #3 vs Connecticut and #1{Saturday} and #2{Monday} there is a good chance they would have finished 2-2 in Pool Play and finished in a playoff spot.They would have had #1 pitcher for Semis and #2 for finals which would have given them a decent shot at Williamsport.

Anonymous said...

New Jersey is 2-1, not 3-1 as you have listed. NJ is a 2 or 3 seed - so game result does not matter. New Jersey will likely roll out their 1 and 2 for short warmups to keep them available for semis. If you think Maryland will score NINE runs off of New Jersey tomorrow, you are not really following the tournament.

Section1Guy said...

We'll see what they do pitching-wise tomorrow. They don't need to roll them out at all and if they don't, then they can easily give up runs tomorrow.

Remember when they gave up eight to the team that "doesn't belong" according to most New Jersey fans?

In fact, I wouldn't roll Matti out for any reason tomorrow because he's been throwing better on longer rest. His rough outings during states were all bunched together after throwing 20s and 35s in sections, etc...

Thanks for catching the NJ record. I typed the end of that post way too fast. I have NJ winning that game tomorrow btw. I'm editing it now.

Todd Finchler said...

I left the anonymous post above and dislike anonymity, especially when I offer commentary! Appreciate your feedback - and do enjoy your posts. PTE was not going to just throw anyone vs Md and give Md false sense of security. Game is low scoring as I type. I don't see Md scoring 9 runs, but that remains to be seen. I figured on a 3-2 or 5-2 game - somewhere like that. We will see what happens.

Section1Guy said...

Well they didn't throw Matti at all which is a great move. I liked the pitching moves completely today for NJ.

All week Ithought MD's bats would come around (like Delaware's) but they haven't. Got the NJ runs right at least LOL

Todd Finchler said...

Well, there was no need to use Matti. Mike started Bener - good move. And then Ton really nailed them down for 3 innings. I knew Mike was not going to roll over against a team he might face in semis. He was not going to just pitch anyone. Didn't expect 7 RBIs from Scannelli, but PTE is a force here. They have all pitchers (except Ton) available on Friday. I just did not see PTE giving up 8-9 runs here. Not heading into semis.

laser vortex said...

It's David Ton btw.

Todd Finchler said...

Yes. I know that. And I know David. We sometimes use surnames only.

Section1Guy said...

It was refreshing to see a coach who understands losing can be contagious even when you're "not trying"

All week long teams have been but by that bug. Ruggiero did a great job with that.

laser vortex said...

I was referring to John saying Ethan Ton on his twitter.

Todd Finchler said...

Ah! I don't Twitter, so didn't see it! It is David - and he is not only a good baseball player - but he is also a really good kid.

Laser Vortex's Dad said...

Go PTE!!!

RJ said...

Todd- David is available Friday. You scared me for a minute. I hadnt check the box score yet, but no reason for him to go over 35 with a 8 run lead.

laser vortex said...

Yeah David is still good. He only threw 35. Also Bener threw 35 pitches today and 31 of them were strikes. Wow.

http://llbmida2012.bbstats.pointstreak.com/boxscore.html?gameid=107033