Thursday, August 9, 2012

Little League East Region: Day 6 (Plus Semifinal Previews!)

Par-Troy East (NJ) 9, West Salisbury (MD) 1

New Jersey got back into the winning ways today behind some big hits from catcher, Anthony Scannelli. PTE's clean-up hitter did just that today with six RBI including a grand slam that broke a 1-1 tie in the top of the fifth inning. David Ton was great in relief today and Bener Uygen continues to look great on the mound.

The tournament is incredibly unpredictable so far. It seems like every team has pitchers that can shut down anyone in the bracket, but the drop off after that opens the flood gates. For instance, Maryland was in pitching duels for both of its two losses before getting blown out late due to pitching changes.

Collier Township (PA) 7, Stony Point (NY) 2

Another game that was tight throughout but pitching was the difference late. Collier led Stony Point 3-2 in the fifth inning when Pennsylvania was forced to make a pitching change. New York loaded the bases but couldn't capitalize. Collier meanwhile proved they belonged in the semifinals by feasting on New York's bullpen and capped the explosion with a grand slam from Nick Serafino.

Scarborough (ME) 3, Bedford (NH) 0

I predicted winless Maine to come out with a win here because they'd have their ace on the mound and couldn't make the semifinals. That's basically how it went, although I expected both teams to hit more. Bedford's been bitten by the injury bug the last two games and really need Alec Burns back in the lineup. New Hampshire has struggled mightily without him. 

Fairfield American (CT) 9, Wellesley South (MA) 2

Connecticut's string of mercy-rule victories was stopped at two, but the three-time state champions from Fairfield American still had an easy win against Massachusetts. Biagio Paoletta continued to tear the cover off the ball and whoever Connecticut sticks on the mound continues to shut down quality opponents. If Connecticut doesn't win the region, New England will be in big trouble.

East Rankings Through Wednesday

1. Connecticut (4-0)

2. Delaware (3-1)

3. New Jersey (3-1)

4. Pennsylvania (2-2)

5. Massachusetts (2-2)

6. New Hampshire (2-2)

7. Maryland (2-2)

8. Maine (1-3)

9. New York (1-3)

10. Vermont (2-2)

11. Rhode Island (1-3)

12. Washington D.C. (1-3)

Random Thoughts: Finally the semifinals are here. Take a look at those records above. Is this the most parity of all time? It might be. The top three teams in the East are definitely better than the rest, but anyone can beat anyone. It's really strange. I think anyone can win the Mid-Atlantic but Delaware would be the best representative with New Jersey a close second. Pennsylvania and Maryland both have ability to pitch themselves to the title, but wouldn't be a great fit for Williamsport.

On the New England side, it's Connecticut or bust. Fairfield was the best team in 2010 and won the region. They were one of the two best teams in 2011 but got upset. Now, they're the best team by far. They have the pitching and hitting to handle anyone they face. 

Homerun Meter: 27

Strikeout Meter: 280

Prediction Record: 3-1 (Overall 16-8)

Predictions & Previews

#3 Bedford, NH (2-2) vs. #2 Wellesley South, MA (2-2)

New Hampshire comes into this game with a two-game losing streak and sometimes that's tough to swallow even when you weren't "trying" to win those games. Both teams should be starting their top pitchers in this one, Grant Lavigne for New Hampshire and Billy Seidl for Massachusetts. The two pitchers also happen to be their team's best hitters. Seidl has been hitting the ball hard all week long even when he makes an out. Lavigne has found himself in pitcher's counts and has been defensive at the plate. He needs to breakout for New Hampshire to have a chance. The status of slugger Alec Burns is also unknown for New Hampshire. That's certainly been a hole in the lineup the past two games.

With the parity in the region this year, this is a tough game to call. Just a few days ago it looked like New Hampshire clearly the better team in this match up, but Wellesley has looked pretty solid as of late. With Seidl on the mound, I'm going with Massachusetts in a slight upset.

Wellesley South 5, Bedford 3.

#4 South Burlington, VT (2-2) vs. #1 Fairfield American, CT (4-0)

This is one of those potential trap games for Connecticut. Back in 2001, Yalesville CT steamrolled through the region and met up with a number four seed from Vermont... the team? South Burlington. Vermont had backed into the semis that year and lost handily to Connecticut. South Burlington pulled off one of the biggest upsets I've ever seen. This year, Fairfield beat South Burlington 17-1. Vermont's biggest problem for this game is pitching. Sam Premsagar is serviceable and the probably starter, but not having Tate or Sheridan available certainly hurts South Burlington.

Connecticut has the ability to start any of their top three starters in Ryan Meury, Will Lucas, or Matt Kubel. With Matty Clarkin ineligible for the remainder of the tournament, Connecticut will look to keep at least two of these pitchers eligible for the final. I honestly can't project who Fairfield will start because any of the three makes sense. Kubel, the number three pitcher, was very good against Vermont the last time he faced them and could get the start again. Lucas came in the game late and struck out the side in one inning. Meury hasn't seen work since the opening night. There's a chance all three could see action. No matter who starts though, I think the end result is inevitable. Another mercy-rule shortened victory.

Fairfield American 12, South Burlington 1

2 comments:

  1. John

    Clarification,Various NESN TV Reports has the New Hampshire team leaving a Cooperstown tournament to attend Eastern Regionals{Bristol}.Is it LL Policy NOT to play in any other Leagues or Tournaments once the LL All Star team is started ?

    ReplyDelete
  2. This policy was discontinued a couple seasons ago. The entire team may not play in another tournament as Bedford Little League All-Stars, but if they go representing another team or its not the entire team, or anything like that. It's A-OK now.

    ReplyDelete